EC
EASTERN CO (EML)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered modest top-line growth but margin compression: net sales rose 4.5% year over year to $66.7M, while gross margin fell to 23.0% from 26.8% due to higher material costs and a prior-year favorable LIFO adjustment that did not recur . GAAP diluted EPS from continuing operations declined to $0.26 from $0.63 in Q4 2023 .
- Backlog strengthened to $89.2M at year-end (up 15.7% YoY), supported by new Class 8 mirror program awards at Velvac; management highlighted ongoing share gains and an aftermarket opportunity set, positioning 2025 for operational execution under new leadership .
- Non-GAAP profit quality mixed: Q4 adjusted EPS was $0.42 (ex-severance), down vs. $0.63 in Q4 2023, and adjusted EBITDA of $5.7M trailed Q3’s $8.7M on softer mix and cost headwinds .
- Strategic reset underway: New CEO (Nov-2024) appointed new presidents at two businesses, is decentralizing operations, and emphasizing nimble, multi-sourced supply chains to manage tariffs and cost volatility .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Backlog momentum and new platform wins: “Backlog as of December 28, 2024 rose 15.7% to $89.2 million… primarily driven by increased orders related to the launch of new mirror programs for the Class 8 truck at Velvac” .
- Leadership/actions to accelerate growth: “All three of the Company’s businesses are now headed by leaders with the hands-on operational expertise… needed to accelerate… revenue growth and profitability” and “top priority for 2025 is to execute faster and more effectively” .
- Aftermarket and platform expansion: “We’re launching a new Mirror platform… transitioning into production as we speak… forecasting our aftermarket business to continue to grow… significantly faster than the market overall” .
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What Went Wrong
- Margin compression in Q4: Gross margin fell to 23.0% from 26.8%, driven by higher material costs and the absence of a favorable LIFO reserve adjustment that benefited Q4 2023 .
- Higher operating expenses: Q4 selling & administrative expenses rose 11% YoY, to 16.8% of sales (from 15.8%) due to payroll, legal/professional and selling costs .
- Mixed end-market demand: Q4 sales benefited from returnable transport packaging but were “partially offset by lower demand for truck accessories and truck mirror assemblies” .
Financial Results
All figures exclude discontinued operations unless noted.
Notes:
- Q4 2024 adjustments reflect severance/accrued compensation; see reconciliation table in the 8-K .
- Q3 2024 benefited from stronger volume/mix, especially mirrors/packaging .
KPIs and Balance Sheet Indicators
Discontinued Operations (Big 3 Mold)
- Q3 2024 recognized a $23.1M write-down to fair value upon classification as held for sale; FY2024 net loss from discontinued ops was $21.7M .
Guidance Changes
Management emphasized execution priorities and supply-chain agility but did not issue numerical guidance ranges for 2025 on the call or in the 8-K/press release .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic posture and 2025 priorities: “Our top priority for 2025 is to execute faster and more effectively… positioning all of Eastern’s businesses for stronger long-term competitiveness” .
- Leadership moves to accelerate growth: “We have appointed new presidents for two of our three operating businesses… leaders with the hands-on operational expertise… to accelerate… revenue growth and profitability” .
- Supply chain positioning: “All… businesses have been hard at work developing nimble supply chains… multiple sourcing options to address costs, made in America, lead times and tariffs” .
- Product expansion opportunities: “We’re launching a new Mirror platform… transitioning into production… [and]… opportunities [at Eberhard] to upgrade/electrify products and pursue tangential opportunities” .
Q&A Highlights
- Class 8 outlook and share gains: Management expects OE mirror business to broadly track Class 8 builds with incremental uplift from a new mirror platform recently launched; aftermarket expected to grow faster than the market overall .
- Sleeper cab demand: Eberhard-exposed sleeper cab build rates have been compressed ~1.5 years; management is “forecasting some improvement” as demand unlocks .
- Emissions pre-buy dynamics: Potential pre-buy ahead of future emissions changes could affect build cadence; if regulations are adjusted, production could level-load rather than spike .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus: No active Wall Street consensus for quarterly EPS or revenue was available for Q4 2024 (or Q1 2025), so a traditional beat/miss assessment versus estimates is unavailable.*
- Actual results for Q4 2024: Revenue $66.7M; GAAP diluted EPS (cont. ops) $0.26; Adjusted EPS $0.42 .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Backlog strength and new platform ramps suggest revenue durability into 2025 despite a softer CV cycle; Class 8 mirror platform launch and aftermarket initiatives are key near-term catalysts .
- Margin compression in Q4 reflects transient factors (material costs and absence of prior LIFO tailwind); the FY gross margin expanded YoY on pricing and cost actions, supporting a recovery path as mix normalizes .
- Operating discipline and decentralization under a new CEO/presidents should quicken decision cycles and drive accountability at Eberhard, Big 3, and Velvac .
- Cash deployment remains balanced: FY24 capex of ~$9.7M to support operations; buybacks continued (39k shares in Q4; ~150k cumulatively), and $0.44/share dividends paid in FY24 .
- Discontinued operations (Big 3 Mold) de-risk portfolio and sharpen focus on core strengths; the Q3 write-down is non-recurring and excluded from continuing ops analysis .
- With no published consensus, positioning and execution updates (backlog conversion, mirror platform ramp, aftermarket penetration) may be the primary stock drivers into the next print .
- Watch S&A intensity and material cost trends; Q4’s higher S&A and input costs weighed on margins, but inventory reduction and leverage ratio improvement are positives heading into 2025 .